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Global Markets Analysis – 9 April 2014

A commentary written by Tony Tong


昨天马盘毛棕榈油尾盘出现急跌,期价跌破4月3日低点2597后出现下跌加速,盘中有多单止损盘涌出,终盘以2576阴K收盘,昨天就提到过,当前马毛棕榈油拖累整体油脂商品迹象明显。美盘豆油昨日晚间红盘中阳报收,受此影响今天早盘马棕榈油小幅跳空高开,期价在昨天中阴K线右下角呈十字星状态, K线组合有走坏迹象, 密切关注昨日低点是否被再次下破,以判断4月8日阴K线下跌动作的真假。

内盘油脂商品 豆油 棕榈油,受美盘豆油昨晚上涨带动,早盘出现高开,但由于马盘的昨日下跌影响,随即又形成高开低走走势, 大陆内盘油脂受两方面的影响,呈上下两难态势。

小结: 昨天马盘棕榈油下挫创新低,期价更远离60天线的阻挡。 美盘豆油昨晚却红盘上涨报收, 大陆内盘油脂高开低走, 三地品种走势分化,其中美豆油看涨,马棕榈油看跌,内盘油脂呈中性。 令整体油脂商品出现微妙变化,孰真孰假一时令投资人摸不着头脑。这种情况走势是最令人烦恼的。 操作上接盘多单由前期乐观中带谨慎,转为谨慎中带谨慎,关注随后一半天 行情的变化,去伪存真。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.


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