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Global Markets Analysis – 9 June 2015

A commentary written by Tony Tong


09.06.2015 周二 油脂商品短线角度出现技术回落整理苗头

美盘豆油7月合约,昨日晚间中阴K线下跌,短线走势整体仍在高位震荡,长线走势来说周图表上60周均线的技术压力仍存,因此造成短线产生波动。建议密切关注今天周二晚间美盘豆油是否仍要下挫。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油与棕榈油1509主力合约,昨天周一提前预警,真是越担心越容易出现。今天周二早盘,在昨日周一盘中走软情况下,今天继续低开低走,盘中阴K线期价下挫,盘中多头继续减仓表现明显,昨天的警示今天成为现实。

马盘毛棕榈油基准8月,昨天高开低走终盘冲高回落阴K线收盘,今天早盘跳空低开十字星状波动,虽然盘中明显技术走坏还不明显,但在大陆内盘提前走软心理影响下,恐后市将回落整理,建议密切关注美盘今天晚间表现。

小结:周二油脂商品盘中表现出现对多头不利情况,前期的短线反弹存在回落苗头,这点要引起我们散户朋友的警惕,特别是短线操作者一定要时刻密切关注盘中的细微变化。若今日晚间美盘豆油也同样延续下挫,则后市短线角度存在回落整理可能。从日图表上观察油脂商品,均线系统多头排列之后的期价下挫若真的成立,个人将以回落均线的下挫积蓄能量看待本波整理,这对中长线操作的朋友影响不是很大,但对短线操作者将产生明显的不利影响。观点认为为规避不必要的风险,短线操作者可适当减仓多单,并且可适当反手短空操作,以跟随盘面节奏。而中长线操作者可分两类操作–A类:继续持仓多单不动;忍受短线的回落均线确认过程,仅将目光盯在未来的趋势性反转上。B类:中长线多单持仓不动,但可适当反手一定数量空单进行锁仓以规避短线的回落带来的账面损失,待短线回落结束再平仓空单。此操作手法可根据自己个人本身的性格脾气来进行有选择性的操作。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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