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Global Markets Analysis – 9 October 2014

A commentary written by Tony Tong


09.10.2014 周四 美元指数冲高回落出现调整迹象

美原油连继续保持前期下行态势,期价沿空头排列的均线系统下挫,尚未出现明显止跌信号。

美元指数前期多日震荡上行,在10月3日见高点86.75后出现冲高回落,近几日短线回落均线考验支撑,出现了冲高回落的调整迹象。

美元指数的短暂回落调整,令以美元计价的期货市场上商品压力骤减,多个大宗商品出现反弹苗头。首当其冲的是美黄金,该品种出现短线的触底反弹走势。外汇市场如:欧元美元和英镑美元也从低点开始反弹上行,有色金属伦敦锌和伦敦铜也出现蠢蠢欲动盘面,甚至连日本橡胶也出现向上反弹欲望。

油脂类商品中,美盘豆油走势变化不大,仍在等待明天美国农业部的报告发布。在美盘消息面不明朗情况下,大陆内盘和马盘的油脂商品今天周四依然小幅震荡,多空双方交投仍然谨慎,其中马盘毛棕榈油也在等待明天马来西亚棕榈油局将要公布的最新报告。

小结:美元指数出现回落整理,大宗商品市场部分品种出现触底反弹苗头。油脂商品在重要报告出炉前仍维持小幅震荡,等待进一步消息面的指引。个人看法是:无仓者场外观望,或在黄金和有色金属等商品上少量多单进场。油脂商品上仍持有反弹多单者可继续谨慎持有。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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