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Global Vegoils Analysis – 1 March 2018

A commentary written by Tony Tong

美盘豆油5月合约,昨日周三晚间再度阴K线下跌,连续周二 周三2天的期价下挫,表明美盘豆油反弹之路困难重重,暂时在40天均线位置受到卖盘阻挡, 美盘豆油短线角度的主动性回调走势在我们意料之中,这恐将对内盘 马盘油脂带来拖累。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油 棕榈油1805主力合约,昨日周三盘面中阳红盘上涨,期价再创短线反弹新高,由于美盘主动性回落,这对内盘的继续拉升带来一定不利影响——-今天周四早盘,期价高开低走,盘中也出现波动调整走势(在我们意料之中 昨日报告已经提醒)。

马盘毛棕榈油基准5月,在连续2天阴十字星K线之后,昨日周三盘面期价低开高走,受内盘油脂走强提振,昨日中阳K线上涨至2560一线,但考虑到美盘豆油的拖累,今天周四盘面恐将期价走低,目前马盘棕榈尚未开盘,我们建议今天早盘开盘后 部分多单可逢高兑现利润平仓离场。

小结:美盘豆油连续2天出现主动性回落走势,这恐将对内盘 马盘油脂商品带来一定负面影响, 内盘 马盘油脂商品的独立走强不可能再延续,更小周期角度的回落整理不可避免(仅仅是在时间上被往后推延了一天),我们今天首要任务—-莫要到手利润出现大幅度的缩水。 具体操作上: 今天周四早盘开盘后,部分散户朋友手中多单可第一时间多单逢高减持,暂把部分利润兑现(先入袋为安)。。。部分激进型日内交易者可反手短空交易,今天盘面期价恐将出现阴K线走低, 但日内空单见好就收 ,不建议空单持仓过夜。

• US soybean oil showed consolidation phase for second consecutive day, affecting China and Malaysia market sentiment.
• China and Malaysia soybean oil rally coming to an end.

• Traders should close position for partial positions.
• Aggressive traders may initiate short selling and advised not to hold any overnight positions.

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.


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