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Global Vegoils Analysis – 10 Oct 2018

A commentary written by Tony Tong


2018.10.10日周三美盘豆油冲高回落后的回抽均线确认走势延续中

美盘豆油12月合约,昨天周二晚间期价中阴K线下跌, 冲高回落的回抽均线走势延续中,短线走势基本符合我们在节奏上的心理预期,均线系统将如何转变需要我们继续密切关注,并且密切 关注下方回落空间的大小。

内盘油脂商品豆油1901主力合约,昨日长阳上涨,今天周三继续红盘表现,日K线图表是均线系统为多头排列,下方均线的支撑力度较强。 内盘棕榈油1901主力合约,今天十字星走势,由于日K线图表上均线系统为空头排列,因此短线走势上要弱于豆油很多, 但昨日周二的长阳K线上涨,让我们有理由相信反弹上行走势仍在延续中。

马盘毛棕榈油基准12月,日K线图表上也是均线空头排列,上方的60天均线的技术压力还在盘面显现,因此马盘棕榈油短线走势略弱,继续关注上方60天均线处的市场表现。

小结: 美盘豆油均线系统正在悄悄酝酿从空头排列转为多头排列,市场期价运行节奏正如我们节前所料——先上冲 然后 回落均线确认。 内盘豆油短线走势较强,期价继续保持反弹上行态势。 内盘 马盘棕榈油短线走势稍弱,由于均线系统暂时还为空头排列,上方的60天均线压制作用还在影响着市场心理,因此反弹力度不够。 操作上: 前期多单继续谨慎持有, 继续关注美盘豆油的后续表现(美盘与内盘 马盘在节奏上 不同步)。

[SUMMARY]
• US soybean oil slowly gaining buying momentum, expect strong uptrend in short term.
• China soybean oil maintaining upward trend in short term.
• China and Malaysia palm oil showing weak rebound signal as strong resistance around 60 days moving average still intact.

[ACTION]
• Traders may continue to hold current positions.

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 











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