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Global Vegoils Analysis – 11 Oct 2018

A commentary written by Tony Tong


2018.10.11日周四美盘豆油回落走势延续内盘油脂商品剧烈波动谨防马盘棕榈油受到伤害

美盘豆油12月合约,昨日周三晚间继续阴K线下挫,今天周四亚洲电子早盘仍然阴K线表现——美豆油短线角度的冲高回落走势进行中,期价下挫回落确认均线(下方的60天均线被9月26 日金叉上穿后, 现在又回落60天均线来确认支撑力度),美盘豆油短线走势仍在我们的预期中,继续关注其回落空间大小。

内盘油脂商品豆油 棕榈油1901主力合约,见到美盘豆油喋喋不休,今天周四早盘出现多头恐慌情绪,期价出现剧烈波动,早盘的长阴K线下跌引发盘面剧烈波动,多空主力对后市看法分歧加大,密切关注其下影线的长度。

马盘毛棕榈油基准12月,当前9点尚未开盘交易,考虑到内盘今天周四早盘的恐慌情绪影响,恐对马棕榈油也带来情绪上的波动—–此前马棕榈就一直表现略显疲软与模糊(上涨无力 下跌无力 一直在2200令吉特附近徘徊),期价一直徘徊在60天均线下方,今天开盘要谨慎为妙。

小结:美盘豆油回落均线确认过程进行中,内盘油脂今天盘面突然出现多头恐慌情绪,期价出现大幅下跌,谨防该情绪对马盘棕榈油多头主力带来不利影响。 具体操作上: 激进型交易者前期多单适量减仓规避一下回抽均线带来的不利影响, 稳健型交易者暂时缓动一下,关注一下盘面是否真的出现变盘信号, 同时继续关注美盘豆油下挫空间大小。

[SUMMARY]
• US soybean oil retracement to moving average has yet to confirm.
• China edible oils plummeted, may spill over to Malaysia palm oil.

[ACTION]
• Aggressive traders may reduce positions to avoid volatility.
• Conservative traders may hold on to their positions and observe market conditions.

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 











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