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Global Vegoils Analysis – 12 Dec 2018

A commentary written by Tony Tong


2018.12.12日周三油脂商品成交清淡

美盘豆油1月合约,昨日周二晚间中阳K线红盘上涨,但依旧处于这几天来横盘区间的上沿部位,依然没有形成实质性盘口走势动作。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油 棕榈油1905主力合约,短线疲软态势依旧,短线悲观情绪弥漫市场。

马盘毛棕榈油基准2月,今天周三盘面十字星K线走势,盘面成交清淡,市场观望气氛较浓。

小结: 阿根廷20集体国峰会之后,虽然美国总统暂时把2019年1月1日准备执行的 对来自中国的2000亿商品继续维持在10%基础上,暂缓提高到25%。。。。在时间上推延到3月1日,在90天内中美两国从新坐下来协商谈判,当前全球金融市场对后期具体的谈判结果不清晰,也没法判断,仅仅只有美国豆农期望值较高,但当前市场在没有实质性动作前(中国方面依然一颗美国大豆也未购买 仅靠希望寄托是不够的),油脂市场交易者观望气氛依然浓厚,全球油脂商品也只好在夹缝中无序波动震荡,短线走势模糊,在后市如果还不出现推动行情的消息面明朗,恐这种死水一潭局面依然会持续一段时间。。。操作上:前期多单继续持有,在萎靡不振的短线行情下,继续保持场外观望观点为上策。

[SUMMARY]
• No new catalyst to boost market sentiment.
• Global edible market direction remain unclear despite the positive outcome from G20 meeting between U.S. and China.

[ACTION]
• Traders may hold current positions.

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 











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