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Global Vegoils Analysis – 13 April 2018

A commentary written by Tony Tong


2018.4.12日周四油脂商品短线冲高回落后的弱势整理行情延续中

美盘大豆短线反弹上扬走势延续中,期价已经快触及到3月2日前高点1082.50一线(当前1075左右),美豆反弹行情进行中。 美盘豆油5月合约(7月),期价仍在低位徘徊,本周5个交易日期价波动不大,呈低位横盘潜伏状态,短线走势无新意。

大陆内盘豆油1805(1809主力),从本周一冲高回落之后,连续5个交易日期价下挫,5连阴疲软走势明显。 内盘棕榈油1805(1809主力)合约,在昨日周四盘面中阴K线急跌后,今天周五早盘期价高开,截止中午时分阴K线右侧小阳表现,期价略微止跌。

马盘毛棕榈油5月(7月),昨日周四低开后小阳K线走势,今天周五期价右侧走高,盘中也出现短线止跌迹象苗头。

小结:美盘豆油低位蛰伏不动,短线角度失去盘面指导意义。 内盘 马盘油脂商品本周冲高回落下挫,短线盘面持续的疲软走势令人担忧(甚至让我们担忧起 未来中长线角度的走势判断是否 后市 会发生变化 关于这一观点讨论 我们将在下周某时间提及),经过短线几天的期价持续走低,更小周期上分时图表得到一定修正,在下周期价存在下探后的反弹走势要求。 我们本周一建议多单逢高减持之后的手中剩余部分多单暂时谨慎持有, 特别是5月合约上的多单,由于临近交割月, 散户朋友等待下周逢高出局机会的把握。

[SUMMARY]
• US soybean oil market prices unchanged.
• This week, China and US edible oils continued its retreat.

[ACTION]
• Traders may want to hold their current position.

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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