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Global Vegoils Analysis – 13 Nov 2018

A commentary written by Tony Tong


2018.11.13日周二马来西亚棕榈油局昨日公布库存数据

美盘豆油1月合约,昨日周一晚间小阳K线表现,期价未延续下挫,今天周二亚洲电子盘又小阳K线红盘表现——-美豆油下挫幅度不明显,这令我们紧张情绪得到些许缓解。。。。但美豆油持续不断的疲软状态,也是令我们较为尴尬的地方,美豆油仍在这种纠结情绪中波动震荡,超跌之后积聚做多人气仍是我们期待的。

大陆内盘油脂商品 豆油 棕榈油1901主力合约,昨日周一上午盘面曾一度恐慌下跌,下午盘面期价才略微走稳——-终盘时候,棕榈油1901合约为带长下影线的十字星收盘,豆油1901为带下影线的小阳K线收盘。 今天周二盘面为十字星K线小幅波动,期价暂时企稳。

马来西亚棕榈油局12日周一公布数据显示:棕榈油10月份产量为196万吨,环比提高6%,这也是连续第4个月增长。 10月份棕榈油出口量为157万吨,环比降低3%————–产量增加而出口下滑,这便造成马来西亚棕榈油总库存量相应的增加,数据显示10月份库存量为272万吨,比9月份时候提高7.6%,这是2017年12月份以来的最高库存。。。。马盘棕榈油基准1月,昨日早盘跳空低开,上午盘面期价走低,创出近期新低2008令吉特, 下午开盘期价勉强走高,终盘以阳十字星收盘。 今天周二盘面为小阴K线走势,期价仍在吸收消化“报告库存增加”的利空消息影响。

小结: 美盘豆油仍我行我素的独自徘徊震荡,短线走势模糊。 内盘 马盘油脂商品在重要报告出炉前出现恐慌情绪,市场部分多头主力出现减仓来规避风险。 今天周二报告出炉后,市场恐慌情绪暂时得到缓解,但马来西亚棕榈油库存增加的利空消息还有待吸收消化,恐内盘 马盘油脂商品期价仍要小幅波动震荡一些时间。具体操作上: 单向裸仓多单继续谨慎持有,等待消息面带给市场的恐慌情绪逐渐平稳。

[SUMMARY]
• U.S. soybean oil went sideways but China and Malaysia edible oils routed prior to the release of key reports.

[ACTION]
• Traders may hold current positions.

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 











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