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Global Vegoils Analysis – 17 Aug 2018

A commentary written by Tony Tong


2018.8.17日周五油脂商品下挫抵抗短线期价出现反复

美盘大豆昨日周四晚间期价出现反复,在短暂下挫之后,又以中阳K线上涨表现—–对于美豆短线走势来说,8月10日(上周五)的那根长阴K线为风向标,若后市期价夺回那根阴K线失地,则反弹走势将会恢复, 若在8月10日阴K线的高点之下运行,则短线回落整理将继续延续,因此上8月10日那根K线为重要技术位。 美盘豆油12月合约,短线回落整理仍延续中,但下方的回落空间我们依旧不会看很深,继续关注下方的回落空间大小。

大陆内盘油脂商品 豆油 棕榈油1901主力合约,昨日周四盘面阴K线下跌表现,但值得警惕的是—–在昨日下跌过程中,昨日的阴K线出现长长的下影线, 这一方面说明多头主力的顽强抵抗,另一方说明空头主力在打压期价过程中信心不足。。。。所以我们散户朋友也不可把下方空间看的很深, 逢盘中急跌出现低点时候逢低空单获利离场为可行上策,万不可把本波下跌当成主流操作, 从中长线角度来说,逢低多单进场埋伏是我们的主流思维。 今天周五早盘,期价再度高开红盘表现,表明多头主力仍在调整仓位进行抵抗,这点是需要我们谨慎的地方。

马盘毛棕榈油基准10月,今天周五早盘期价高开,上午盘面十字星表现,期价再度回到2200整数关口之上,说明马盘毛棕榈油也是抵抗性整理,下方空间也不是很大。。。

小结: 植物油市场短线走势期价出现反复,表明下方回落空间不会很大,这基本上符合我们本周初的预期,说明多头主力仍在顽强抵抗中,我们暂时以美盘大豆8月10日那根阴K线作为短线走势“风向标”,若后市期价上涨吞没那根阴K线,则存在调整结束 期价反身上涨的可能,因此上我们本周短线的反手空单一定要谨慎。。。。此前,我们在报告中也提到过——–待回落调整结束时 逢低多单进场是我们的主要操作目标,当前的短线短空只是权宜之计,因此上对于本波空单我们不可奢望获利多大,我们操作的获利空间仍要防在逢低做多的多单上来, 我们这里在提醒一下散户朋友。具体操作上: 当前短线空单谨慎持有,遇急跌时候可逢低离场,待后市回落整理出现明显的结束信号时候,我们会提醒散户平空翻多操作。

[SUMMARY]
• Global edible oils maintaining strong momentum for uptrend, less space for downtrend to occur.

[ACTION]
• Traders may set a bearish candlestick on 10/8/2018 as latest resistance level, if the price successfully break out, it may continue to rally.
• Traders may hold current short positions and may close positions when the price nosedive.

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 












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