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Global Vegoils Analysis – 17 May 2018

A commentary written by Tony Tong


2018.5.17日周四美豆油走弱内盘马盘油脂商品“折中”操作一下

美盘豆油7月合约,昨日周三晚间期价中阴K线下跌,盘中瞬间短线走势出现走坏苗头,令投资者担忧情绪加剧。

大陆内盘油脂商品 豆油 棕榈油1809主力合约,今天周四早盘期价略强,盘中多头积极抵抗护盘,并未完全追随美盘豆油走弱。

马盘毛棕榈油基准7月,昨日周三小阴K线下跌表现,今天周四盘面低开高走的小阳K线表现,多头主力尚未完全放弃。

小结:美盘豆油昨日晚间出现走弱,内盘 马盘油脂商品略强,多头尚未完全放弃——这令短线走势出现研判模糊状态,若以美盘为风向标我们应该平多翻空,若以内盘 马盘来说,我们多单仍可少量持有,未平衡这种矛盾心理,我们建议:暂且部分多单在前两天减仓情况,在此基础上再少量减仓,手中多单持仓保持合理范围内, 暂且不建议反手空单, 再给美盘豆油多观察一晚上,看美盘豆油是否“假摔”,昨日的阴K线失地被收回(美盘豆油更小周期角度的分时图表存在“超卖”信号)。多留一点时间给美盘豆油确认。

[SUMMARY]
• US soybean oil routed while China and Malaysia edible oils rose, maintained strong buying sentiment.

[ACTION]
• Traders are advised to hold current positions and observe US soybean oil market direction on next trading day.

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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