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Global Vegoils Analysis – 18 April 2018

A commentary written by Tony Tong


2018.4.18日周三油脂商品短线超跌后反弹欲望出现

美盘豆油7月合约,本周一期价创出新低后,昨日周二小阴K线表现,今天周三亚洲电子盘红十字星走势—–盘面恐慌情绪不明显,多空主力仍比较谨慎,未做出大的动作, 美豆油低位区域内继续延续大的横盘波动震荡走势。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油 棕榈油1809主力合约,昨日周二盘面以带下影线的阴阳K线收盘,短线盘中跌幅收窄,下影线的出现表明下方存在一定买盘支撑,继续以谨慎的短空触底之后的反弹观点对待。

马盘毛棕榈油基准7月,昨日周二盘面低开高走的中阳K线上涨收盘,并且昨日的阳K线已经吞没周一的阴K线,更小周期上的下探触底技术反弹效果好于内盘,基本上符合我此前预期。 今天周三盘面虽然在昨日阳K线右上角小阴K线整理,只要今日跌幅不大,我们继续保持短线超跌之后的反弹观点对待。

小结:美盘豆油短线走势无新意,盘面横盘震荡模糊状态依旧。 马盘毛棕榈油触底后阳K线出现,率先引领内盘油脂商品止跌,短暂整理之后,后市仍存技术反弹走势要求。 操作上: 无仓交易者场外观望, 部分5月合约上多单持有者继续寻找后市短线逢高平仓机会的把握,后市短线期价仍有走高要求。

[SUMMARY]
• US soybean oil market remain volatile.
• Malaysia palm oil rebounded and supported China soybean oil.

[ACTION]
• Traders who do not hold any positions may wait and observe market conditions before initiate any new positions.
• Traders who are holding May contracts could take profits whenever possible.

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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