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Global Vegoils Analysis – 18 July 2018

A commentary written by Tony Tong


2018.7.18日周三油脂类商品短线酝酿反弹走势

美盘黄豆连短线超跌之后触底反弹——从今天盘面上观察,已经出现三连阳红盘走势,虽然目前涨幅不大,但低位的酝酿“拐点”反弹走势出现苗头。美盘豆油12月合约,短线下挫整理走势空间收窄,盘面出现右侧止跌横盘动作,虽然截止目前尚未出现强势上涨动作,但下方空间我们也不再看很深。。。对美盘油脂我们暂时以低位的短线酝酿反弹拐点观点对待。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油 棕榈油1809主力合约,连续三天“红小兵阳K线”,短线多头主力正在悄悄凝聚人气,后市短线的“W型”双底雏形在酝酿中,后市短线能否酝酿成功,有待我们后市继续观察。

马盘毛棕榈油基准9月,之字形三浪结构下挫基本完成,今天周三早盘,马棕榈追随内盘棕榈期价走高,今天小小的向上跳空缺口,说明马盘棕榈油也出现了止跌迹象,密切关注后市反弹走势的延续性。

小结:美盘大豆期价触底反身走高,美盘豆油依旧不温不火, 内盘马盘油脂率先出现些许走强——-全球油脂商品在前期超跌之后,隐隐出现低位酝酿短线反弹走势“拐点”的雏形,我们从本周初开始,暂时由短空思维转为短多思维,后市关注反身走强的表现力度。 具体操作上: 昨日报告中建议空单逢低平仓离场后,手中剩余多单与新进多单暂时谨慎持有,耐心等待后市短线期价脱离“底部”区域(越远离 我们信心则越大)。

[SUMMARY]
• China and Malaysia edible oils showed slight rebound.
• US soybean oil remain calm.

[ACTION]
• Traders may hold current positions and wait for obvious reversal trend.

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 












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