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Global Vegoils Analysis – 18 Sep 2018

A commentary written by Tony Tong


2018.9.18日周二马盘棕榈油跳空开盘期价走低

美盘黄豆连昨日晚间期价跌破7月16日的826.75前低,收盘价为825.00—–表明前低的技术支撑效力被打破,后市仍存在下滑风险。 美豆油12月合约,短线的小阴K线的下探走势仍延续中,我们继续保持疲软的下挫走势观点,关注焦点转移到下方回落空间大小上来(短线下挫是我们一直所研判的 现在关注下破之后的回落空间会有多大, 我个人主观观点依旧认为不会很深)。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油 棕榈油1901主力合约,前期还短线小阴阳K线抵抗,特别是豆油的抵抗力度更大一些,今天周二盘面,在看到美盘油脂下破前低非常明确后, 短线空头力量有所增强,今天期价出现了大幅度下跌,特别是内盘棕榈油1901主力合约,期价呈长阴K线下跌。

马盘棕榈油基准11月,昨日周一因公共假期停盘,今天假期过后开盘,受大连交易市场棕榈油长阴破位下跌影响,早盘期价跳空低开,期价下跌幅度较大,我们前期多空对锁仓单继续持有。

小结:美盘油脂期价破位走低,内盘 马盘多头抵抗力度减弱,空头趁机打压期价,今天内盘 马盘棕榈油下跌幅度较大,前期我们建议的多空仓单对锁操作,已经锁定了期价下挫风险(多空仓单对锁之后 无论期价如何变化 账户资金盈亏额度是不变动的)。。。。当前,我们操作上继续保持对锁操作,密切关注美盘油脂破位前低之后的回落空间深度,待美盘油脂寻找到下方支撑点时候,我们再建议低位空单平仓离场的解锁操作, 美盘油脂“不破不立”的短线疲软走势正在延续中。

[SUMMARY]
• Sell-off in US soybean oil caused price to fall, followed by China and Malaysia edible oil.

[ACTION]
• Traders may initiate short positions.

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 












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