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Global Vegoils Analysis – 2 April 2018

A commentary written by Tony Tong


美盘油脂商品上周五因公共假期停盘一天, 上周四的美国农业部利好消息顺延到本周(2018年度美大豆播种面积意外下调)。美大豆上周四晚间长阳飙涨,一阳包多阴,盘面瞬间走强迹象明显。 美盘大豆5月合约上周四中阳红盘上涨后,今天周一亚洲电子盘又继续红盘表现,继续关注今日晚间美盘豆油的上涨力度,后市短线美盘油脂商品还将受基本面的利多氛围影响一段时间。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油 棕榈油1805合约,上周五低开高走的阳K线上涨之后,今天周一早盘期价再度高开高走,期价从低位反身走强迹象明显(并且豆油强于棕榈),日K线图表上已经形成2根错列的阳K线,盘面做多人气聚集,短多观点看待。

马盘毛棕榈油5月(基准7月),上周四突然一个向下跳空缺口给盘面造成临时恐慌,而周五时候又突然一个向上跳空缺口,马棕榈短线走势不连贯,间歇性跳跃(不排除周四的向下跳空为“假摔” 凶残主力给散户挖了个空头陷阱),在美盘 内盘油脂商品带动下,今天马盘棕榈油恐将走强。

小结:美盘油脂商品短线角度出现走强,内盘油脂紧紧追随从低位反身走高,马盘棕榈油被提振,短线角度我们短多思维对待。 具体操作上:上周四的“防御性”短空我们在上周五时候已经建议空单平仓了结,散户朋友手中剩余单向多单继续持有, 无仓场外观望朋友可今天周一早盘适量多单逢低进场试盘, 后市关注全球油脂商品短线走强的持续性。

• Today, US, China and Malaysia edible oils rebounded.

• Traders may hold their current long positions.
• Traders without positions may initiate long position and observe the persistency of rally for global edible oils .

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.


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