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Global Vegoils Analysis – 20 April 2018

A commentary written by Tony Tong


本周美豆油7月合约,期价在低位区域蛰伏不动,盘面走势无新意,整体期价波动不大, 就好像再等待什么消息刺激一样,多空主力都按兵不动,让美豆油继续在时间上“磨”吧。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油 棕榈油1809主力合约,内盘豆油上周“冲高回落”急跌之后,本周5个交易日期价右侧横盘波动,短线下挫杀跌动能减弱,期价止跌回稳。 内盘棕榈油本周二收出下影线后,期价短暂波动震荡,技术上再次酝酿新一波反弹走势。

马盘毛棕榈油基准7月,本周二期价低开高走长阳K线之后,短线形态上形成了“阳包阴”吞没形态,短线出现期价走强迹象。虽然期价随后几天继续涨幅不大,但短线拖累下方2350低位区域, 继续等待短多人气聚集。

小结:美盘豆油短线走势不佳,盘中横盘模糊。 内盘 马盘油脂商品短线出现反弹欲望,虽然当前期价涨幅不大,但后市我们继续看高一线。 操作上: 稳健型交易者暂时场外观望,部分激进型散户朋友可少量短多进场接盘(在阴K线低点进多埋伏),后市短线以技术反弹观点对待。 另外5月合约部分持仓多单下周注意平仓了结换月操作。

• US soybean oil still remain in unfavourable condition.
• Malaysia and China edible oils rose, shown sign of rebound.

• Conservative traders may hold their current positions.
• Traders who are still holding May contract may prepare to close positions when necessary.

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.


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