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Global Vegoils Analysis – 20 February 2018

A commentary written by Tony Tong


2018.2.20日周二内盘金融市场春节假期停盘7天马盘棕榈油围绕在2500整数关口徘徊等待

美盘金融市场昨天周一因“总统日”假期停盘一天。。。对美盘油脂商品来说—–美大豆保持短线震荡反弹上扬走势,美豆油下探式低位寻支撑,二者短线走势仍在分化中,基本符合假期前我们的心理预期。单对美盘豆油5月合约来说,该品种下挫的空间正逐步收窄(时间换取空间 下方空间不大),短线技术上仍存在超跌后的反弹技术要求。

大陆内盘油脂商品,因国内7天长假期,目前仍停盘中,内盘将在本周四(后天)开盘交易。

马盘毛棕榈油基准5月(或4月),昨日周一期价低开高走中阳K线上涨收盘,今天周二上午盘面为高开低走的中阴K线下跌,阴阳K线交错中徘徊震荡,但整体期价仍维持在2500整数关口附近, 在内盘未开盘交易前提下,马盘棕榈期价不会太远离2500一线。

小结:美盘豆油下探寻支撑接近尾声阶段,相信下方空间已经被封杀(要跌早跌下来了 这次长假期未出现明显V型大的变化),市场被一只无形的手笼罩中。。。。内盘停盘后,马盘油脂徘徊震荡等待时机(今天周二期价会震荡走低一些), 但整体变化不大。 操作上:无仓交易者继续场外冷眼旁观,轻仓或节前少量多单持有的散户朋友继续持仓不动,等待美盘豆油触底之后的反向提振。

[SUMMARY]
• US soybean oil finding support in the market reaching final stage.
• Malaysia soybean oil price will experience some volatility. Overall market remain unchanged.

[ACTION]
• Traders who are not holding any position may wait for entry signal.
• Traders who are holding minimal positions in US soybean oil should maintain current positions and wait for reversal signal.

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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