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Global Vegoils Analysis – 22 March 2018

A commentary written by Tony Tong



大陆内盘油脂商品豆油 棕榈油1805主力合约,今天周四早盘豆油期价高开追随美盘豆油红盘上涨表现(棕榈油十字星K线),内盘油脂商品多日窄幅波动震荡后,在等待美盘豆油短线后续走势的明确指引。

马盘毛棕榈油基准5月,昨日周三盘面期价阳K线走强,终盘报收于2460令吉。 我们早先一直诉说,2450—2460一线是原矩形箱底的下沿部位,该位置是非常敏感地带——-站到上面就表示回归原先箱体内 从而反弹有望延续, 若只触摸一下但站不上去 则可能就会被再打压回来,站与不站就看马盘棕榈的后续动能信心是否够强大?。。。今天马棕榈5月观察,周四早盘高开,盘中多头主力还是略微有些胆怯,不敢率先引领美油 内盘上行,期价反而阴K线下滑表现,因此我们昨日报告中警示的“思维上那根弦”还得继续绷紧,小心谨防不利情况出现。

小结: 国际原油市场发力上涨,纽约原油连续2根阳K线调动起做多人气。 美盘豆油昨日晚间也报复性长阳飙涨———我们前期的短多观点保持不变。随后,让我们关注一下未来2天该走势是否能得到延续, 这是油脂商品短线走势的关键所在。具体操作上:前期多单继续谨慎持有, 之所以提到“谨慎”二字, 就是提醒我们也要密切关注马棕榈5月合约能否站上2460一线?(往上越远离该位置越有利多单 往下却不能下滑太多 谨防反抽确认一下“箱底下沿” 而再掉落下来 因此,此刻关键时候还需要我们常常说的那句话 虽然一颗红心但要做好两手准备 谨防被凶残主力带来的伤害)。

• US soybean oil rallied, lifted mainly by the global crude oil and NYMEX crude oil.
• Maintain current position and observe market trend for next two days.

• Traders may hold current positions, awaiting Malaysia palm oil May contract to test at 2,460 level.

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.


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