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Global Vegoils Analysis – 22 Nov 2018

A commentary written by Tony Tong


2018.11.22日周四美盘豆油昨日晚间中阳K线上涨技术反弹序幕出现苗头

昨日周三晚间,美盘豆油红盘上涨,一根中阳K线的出现(阳包三阴),揭示出美豆油在持续超跌之后,在前低27.37位置受到支撑之后,终于在“感恩节前夜”出现反身动作, 潜在存在技术上“双重底”雏形, 我们继续保持低位酝酿反弹观点不变,后市短线关注反弹过程中上行动能。。。美盘今日因公共假期将停盘一天。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油1901主力合约,昨日周三为带下影线的阳K线上涨表现,盘中多头主力仍在顽强抵抗。 内盘豆粕1901合约,昨日也是阳K线上涨,其实豆粕品种前几日就早早率先出现反弹上行走势,继续关注二品种上行力度。 内盘棕榈油1901主力合约,由于受马盘棕榈油下挫疲软走势影响,前期盘面表现一直弱于内盘豆油,关注其后市表现。

马盘毛棕榈油基准1月(或2月),在消化吸收马来西亚高库存数据利空消息之后,昨日周三盘面出现久违的“带下影线的中阳K线”,期价瞬间毛刺下跌见1875令吉特之后,尾盘报收于1936令吉特,我们一直坚定认为,2000令吉特之下可以瞬间短线下挫,但期价不会持久维持在低位, 越是往下“砸坑”,越是空头“陷阱”嫌疑, 昨日马盘棕榈油低位也出现止跌企稳苗头。

小结: 美盘豆油出现“双重底”K线形态走势苗头,马盘棕榈油也出现止跌企稳迹象, 内盘油脂商品是否多头信心会略微强势一些? 让我们继续关注油脂商品后市短线变盘信号是否会得到延续。。。。具体操作上: 前期新老多单继续谨慎持有,变盘信号出现痕迹之后,关注随后的反弹动能是否有效配合。

[SUMMARY]
• U.S. soybean oil showed double bottom pattern.

[ACTION]
• Malaysia palm oil showed sign of rebound.
• Traders may hold current positions.

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 











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