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Global Vegoils Analysis – 23 July 2018

A commentary written by Tony Tong


2018.7.23日周一继续等待多头人气的聚集

美盘大豆上周5个交易日连续红盘反弹上涨,虽然盘中涨幅不大,但低位之后的短线反弹“拐点”已经露出痕迹。美盘豆油12月合约,在前期受利空情绪影响下跌之后,上周期价开始右侧横盘——短线盘中止跌企稳迹象也较为明显,我们对美盘油脂商品整体继续保持短线角度的酝酿反弹走势观点不变。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油 棕榈油1809主力合约,今天周一早盘,期价曾一度高开高走的红盘上涨表现,由于后续盘口上拉动力不足,造成上午盘面出现冲高回落走势(出现上影线),目前多头主力信心仍略显不足,我们继续等待后市多头人气的聚集,暂时仍以短多的反弹观点对待。

马盘毛棕榈油基准9月,上周末时候,马盘棕榈油短线走势就出现情绪波动(周四 周五),今天周一盘面期价依然在2200令吉特整数关口受阻,今天高开低走的中阴K线,表明马盘棕榈上多空主力依旧在“奋力争夺”,多空分歧依旧很大,但我们短多观点继续保持不变。

小结:今天周一上午盘面,内盘 马盘油脂商品多头主力信心不足,期价在上拉过程中,一些不坚定多头份子出现逢高兑现减仓动作,造成期价出现“反复”, 在上周一(7月16日低点未被下破前),我们继续保持坚定的短多思维,不受盘面情绪干扰。 具体操作上: 上周初低位多单继续持有,以7.16日低点为多单止损点,继续保持反弹上行观点,不下破多单持仓不动,继续等待多头人气聚集。

[SUMMARY]
• Tug-of-war between sellers and buyers happened in China and Malaysia edible oils.

[ACTION]
• Traders may hold current positions.
• Traders may also continue to hold current positions if the market failed to break the support level.

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 












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