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Global Vegoils Analysis – 23 May 2018

A commentary written by Tony Tong


美盘豆油7月合约,昨日周二晚间,曾一度中阳K线上涨,期价上穿60天均线,但在空头主力百般阻挠下,终盘以带上影线的小阳K线收盘(上冲未果)。 今天周三亚洲电子盘,期价继续在60天均线31.70一线徘徊试探, 多头主力仍有上攻60天均线的决心与毅力,我们继续关注美盘豆油在60天线处表现。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油 棕榈油1809主力合约,在昨日美豆油上攻未果情况下,内盘多头主力信心有所崩溃,今天周三盘面期价高开低走的下挫表现(中阴K线下跌),盘中部分多头因信心不足而减仓,等待美盘豆油的后续指引。

马盘毛棕榈油基准7月,昨日周二盘面为高开高走的小阳K线,期价仍站在60天均线上方,多头主力护盘积极。 今天周三盘面小阴十字星表现,期价在2460一线徘徊震荡, 马棕榈冷眼旁观市场后市如何演绎——在等待 美豆油 内盘棕榈油的具体表现明朗后,然后才会发起追随动作。

小结: 美豆油昨日晚间未能冲上60天均线的技术阻挡, 内盘油脂空头主力今天发力打压期价, 马盘棕榈油多空主力较为谨慎,按兵不动未盲目发力。 内盘马盘油脂商品在耐心等待美盘豆油的具体表现,我们散户朋友也不必心急,密切关注美豆油在60天均线处如何演绎? 我个人还是比较倾向继续上冲挑战60天均线的阻挡。 操作上: 前期多单继续持有,适量减持兑现利润之后的交易者,暂时不盲目新的操作(不追多 也不反空),手中剩余多单在随后几天继续注意逢高减仓操作—-我们当前主要操作就是 分批量 分点位 逢高派发兑现为主。

• US soybean oil unable to breakout of EMA 60 and routed.
• Malaysia and China edible oils less affected by US soybean oil.

• Traders may hold current positions.
• Traders who followed previous day trading strategy may close positions gradually for profit taking.

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.


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