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Global Vegoils Analysis – 24 May 2018

A commentary written by Tony Tong


美盘黄豆连短线走势凌厉反弹,期价在下方1000整数关口受到支撑,短短几天期价上涨到1050一线。 美盘豆油为小碎步震荡上行,盘中每天涨幅虽然不大,但短线的反弹走势仍延续中——昨日周三晚间期价继续上攻调整60天均线的阻挡,今天周四亚洲电子盘期价已经站到60天均线的上方, 这给予内盘 马盘 油脂商品多头主力一定信心。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油 棕榈油1809主力合约,昨日周三盘面走低,盘中阴K线下跌表现(主要是美豆油尚未站在60天均线 害怕该位置存在技术阻挡),当今天看到美豆油仍然存在反弹动能,今天内盘油脂商品再度红盘表现,截止中午盘面为中阳K线上涨,继续短多观点对待。

马盘毛棕榈油基准7月,昨日周三红十字星走势,受内盘 美盘上涨提振,今天周四早盘再度跳空高开,截止中午,期价在2480一线徘徊,当前马盘棕榈油下方均线正金叉上穿60天均线, 我们继续短多思维对待。

小结:美盘豆油开始对60天均线发起调挑战,期价上攻技术阻挡要求强烈,短线反弹走势基本符合我们此前预期,我们继续保持超跌之后的短线反弹上行观点不变。 内盘 马盘油脂商品反弹上行走势延续中,虽然也曾出现“一波三折”现象,但未改震荡向上态势,在反弹动能尚未衰竭前,我们继续短多思维对待, 密切关注后市行情是否出现上涨加速迹象——–若出现盘中加速急涨时刻,我们依旧建议多单分批量 分点位逢高派发操作建议。。。后市均线上穿之后,期价会有一个快速冲高回落 再度确认均线“金叉上穿”可靠性的下挫确认动作,因此上我们的前期多单尽量靠近第一波反弹高点位置平仓为佳。

• US soybean oil still testing for breakout of EMA 60.
• Malaysia and China edible oils resumed their rallies.

• Traders who followed previous day trading strategy may close positions gradually for profit taking.

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.


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