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Global Vegoils Analysis – 24 Oct 2018

A commentary written by Tony Tong


2018.10.24日周三国际原油下跌拖累油脂商品

纽约原油昨日周二晚间长阴K线下跌(跌幅3.3%左右),创近期最大单日跌幅。 美盘豆油12月合约昨日晚间也中阴K线走低,盘中期价最低为28.72,恰恰触发60天均线28.70位置————60天均线正在接受考验? 是否能支撑得住,就让我们开始谨慎起来,是下破继续走低还是受支撑再反身向上,则成为我们继续关注的焦点,也是短线走势的风向标。

内盘油脂商品豆油 棕榈油1901主力合约,见美豆油期价中阴下探60天均线后市短线走势不明—–今天周三早盘开盘,期价就低开低走,盘中部分多头恐慌性减仓,截止中午时分,期价仍阴K线表现——-关注今天阴K线的“下影线”长短?

马盘毛棕榈油基准1月(或12月), 当看到国际原油 美豆油 内盘油脂期价走低,今天周三早盘也顺势跳空低开走软,期价正逐步靠近9月21日的前低位置(该位置是前一波反弹的起始点 9月21—-10月5日),马棕榈短线弱势也较为疲软。

小结: 美盘豆油昨日晚间期价触及60天均线,后市是下破还是受到支撑? 暂时还没给出明确答案———–当美豆油期价临近关键技术位时候,内盘 马盘油脂商品多头主力率先心理负担加重,今天提前出现了部分止损盘, 我们再多观察美豆油今晚如何表现,若确定60天均线被明确下破,我们再建议平多反手追空操作,今天晚上美豆油的短线走势就显得尤为关键。。。。若有任何风吹草动 我们会在明天早盘报告中早早提醒大家。

[SUMMARY]
• U.S. soybean oil barely hovered above 60 days moving average.
• China and edible oils tumbled, triggered cut-loss point.

[ACTION]
• Traders may continue to hold current positions as long as U.S soybean oil did not break below 60 days moving average.

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 











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