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Global Vegoils Analysis – 25 January 2018

A commentary written by Tony Tong


25.01.2018周四“三连阳”过后油脂商品短线出现小幅整理

美盘豆油3月合约,本周二周三2连阳期价红盘上涨,今天周四亚洲电子盘又继续红盘上涨表现——美豆油短线下破前低之后的“反身上行”走势逐步清晰起来,我们继续以超跌之后的短线短多观点对待。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油棕榈油1805主力合约,从本周一开始,内盘油脂商品就出现“反身”迹象,在周一阳K线时候我们按兵未动,周二时候建议激进型交易者少量多单进场,昨日周三时候我们让稳健型交易者进场,三天的阳K线上涨,内盘油脂短线反弹走势出现苗头,今天周四盘面期价小幅阴K线整理,这属于正常现象。

马盘毛棕榈油基准4月(或3月),本周前3个交易日也是阳K线上涨表现,连续的3天上涨,短线分时图出现一定的超买迹象,今天周四盘面出现阴K线小幅整理也非常合理(一波段的反弹上行或者下挫整理永远都不会全部是阳K线或者全部阴K线,期间肯定夹杂相反K线),这是正常市场表现,我们只要关注小幅整理的K线不吞没前面的阳K线,那就继续短多观点对待。

小结:美盘豆油追随内盘马盘油脂商品期价走高,并且短线走强态势仍延续中。内盘马盘油脂商品更早一天领先美盘反弹上涨,三连阳过后出现期价小幅整理,我们不予理会,继续短多观点对待。操作上:本周新进补仓多单与前期老多单继续持有,后市目光焦点我们会逐步转移到上方反弹高度上来。

[SUMMARY]
• US soybean oil continues to rally on the back of rising futures prices on China and Malaysia edible oils.
• Given the emergence of a minor correction, our short-term long outlook remains.
• We shall turn our focus to the height of the reversal.

[ACTION]
• Traders may hold or initiate long position.

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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