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Global Vegoils Analysis – 25 Oct 2018

A commentary written by Tony Tong


2018.10.25日周四美豆油下破60天均线的支撑

美豆油12月合约,昨日周四晚间期价下破60天均线28.70位置, 并且期价也跌破10月11日的那根小阳下影线(前低28.63),缺少了60天线的支撑作用,美豆油恐将继续走低,后市关注焦点转移到下破之后的回落空间大小上来,美豆油跌破关键技术位,短线走势转淡,我们以短暂的短空观点对待。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油 棕榈油1901主力合约, 当观察到美豆油下破60天线后,内盘油脂商品今天周四早盘期价低开低走,盘面空头力量有所增强,建议散户朋友部分空单进场。

马盘毛棕榈油基准1月(或12月),此时离开盘交易还有1小时多,考虑到美盘豆油技术走坏,内盘油脂期价下挫,这恐对马盘棕榈油造成拖累,建议马盘棕榈油10点半开盘后,前期多单持有者可反手空单进场锁仓操作,谨防期价继续走低。

小结:美豆油短线疲软态势瞬间明显,期价昨日晚间下破了60天均线的支撑———美豆油短线出现走坏,期价惯性下挫存在可能,我们后市焦点转移到下破之后的回落空间大小上来。。。。。为谨防内盘 马盘前期多单持有者账面受到更大损失,今天周四早盘紧急建议: 前期多单持有者,可在开盘后反手空单进场,形成多空仓单“对锁”, 部分激进型交易者还可 空单数量略大于多单一些, 谨防美豆油下破技术性后所带来的伤害, 后市关注美豆油下破之后的回落空间(应该不会很深),待后市探明回落空间之后,我们再第一时间解锁操作。

[SUMMARY]
• U.S. soybean oil broke support level at 60 days moving average.

[ACTION]
• Focus on U.S. soybean oil retracement after breakout.
• Traders may initiate short positions.
• Aggressive traders may initiate large quantity of short positions.

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 











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