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Global Vegoils Analysis – 27 February 2018

A commentary written by Tony Tong


美盘黄大豆昨日周一晚间期价冲高回落,在连续多日强势上扬之后出现一根带上影线的中阴K线,美豆短线高位出现一定压力。 美盘豆油5月合约,昨日期价中阳上涨,盘中反弹动能充沛。当前期价反弹到40天均线位置,我们继续看高到60天均线处——后市当期价触及60天均线位置时候,会出现2种走势,1.继续快速上冲突破,下方短期均线上穿60天线形成“金叉”,然后回路均线等待第二波的上冲。2.期价在空头排列的60天均线位置受阻,期价直接回落。。。当前判断后市如何演绎为时尚早,但我个人观点更倾向第一种可能,让我们继续关注美盘豆油在60天均线位置的表现。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油 棕榈油1805主力合约,今天周二盘面多头主力略趋谨慎,盘中成交趋淡,期价十字星表现(内盘豆油小阴K线回落调整),期价在日K线图表上60天均线位置徘徊等待(内盘棕榈油略强一点),继续关注美盘豆油短线走势指引。


小结: 美盘豆油超跌之后的短线技术反弹上行走势延续中,期价继续努力上攻空头排列的均线系统(当前到达40天线),上攻动能未衰竭前,我们继续短多观点看待。 内盘 马盘油脂商品率先一步到达60天线,后市如何演绎,等待美盘豆油的短线走势指引。具体操作上:油脂类商品上稳健型交易者手中多单继续持有,激进型交易者思维更敏感一步,谨防急涨过后的小幅回落。

• US soybean oil reached 40 days moving average, indicated the previous day uptrend.
• China and Malaysia soybean reached 60 days moving average, awaiting US soybean oil for future short-term performance.

• Aggressive traders are recommended to take profit for part of their portfolio, and initiate new position when correction phase occurred.
• Conservative traders are advised to hold current positions.

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.


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