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Global Vegoils Analysis – 28 Aug 2018

A commentary written by Tony Tong


2018.8.28日周二美盘豆油昨日晚间未追随内盘油脂期价走低

美盘豆油12月合约,昨日晚间中阳K线红盘上涨,期价未追随昨日内盘期价走低—–美豆油整体还呈现短线角度的横盘波动整理状态,在这种横盘僵局没有被打破之前,我们继续冷眼旁观,以静制动关注盘面是否出现新变化,暂不盲目盘中乱操作。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油 棕榈油1901主力合约,昨日周一早盘期价低开低走下跌,盘中多头人气有所涣散,空头主力借机可以打压,多头主力措手不及慌乱一团,终盘时候豆油棕榈油双双中阴K线收盘。今天周二早盘期价低开高走(见美盘豆油未跟跌),又阳K线上涨表现——-内盘多空主力暂时“拉锯战”争斗中, 我们不为盘面瞬间的情绪波动所干扰,稳健型交易者继续场外观望,激进型少量试盘多单继续持有,由于持仓量较小,暂时忽略盘面的微小变化。

马盘毛棕榈油基准11月,昨日周一为跳空的小阴K线下跌,瞬间的向下跳空缺口一度令人紧张——-但今天周二早盘,期价有跳空高开高走,马棕榈近期短线的无序波动震荡走势延续中, 忽上忽下的跳跃式运行令短线操作研判难度增大,我们继续以平静心态对待当前短线市场,尽量不被瞬间的情绪波动所干扰到。

小结:美盘豆油继续横盘波动状态,内盘昨日突然的杀跌动作“虚晃一枪”,真真假假在迷惑散户朋友。 马盘棕榈油今天期价跳空高开上涨阳K线表现——形成一阳包多阴走势,关注马盘棕榈后续持续动作能否得以延续? 操作上: 稳健型交易者场外喝茶观望, 激进型交易者手中少量多单继续持有, 静观市场上下忽悠 不为所动。

[SUMMARY]
• China soybean oil rebounded, but may wait and hold for clearer market direction.
• Malaysia palm oil gapped-up and rallied, traders may hold and observe the continuity of the rally before initiate any positions.

[ACTION]
• Conservative traders may wait and observe for better market entry to appear.
• Aggressive traders may hold small amount of positions.

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 












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