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Global Vegoils Analysis – 29 Oct 2018

A commentary written by Tony Tong


2018.10.29日周一美盘豆油下挫整理延续中内盘马盘油脂商品略微出现抵抗

美盘黄豆连短线走势横盘波动,期价略微走稳,至少没有再出现较大的下跌。美盘豆油12月行合约,短线下破60天均线的支撑后,下挫走势仍在延续中,盘中未出现明显的止跌信号,今天是再次下探运行的第十个交易者(10月16日开始),让我们继续多关注它3天。

内盘油脂商品豆油 棕榈油1901主力合约,今天周一十字星表现,期价略微止跌,但盘面止跌反弹信号还是不够明显,我们继续多空仓单对锁,谨慎态度对待。

马盘毛棕榈油基准1月(或12月),上周五时分,期价长阴K线下跌,盘中多头减仓盘空头打压盘表现明显。 今天周一期价高开高走—–短线修正上周五的猛烈下跌,但若今天的阳K线不能吞没上周五的那根阴K线,就仍不足以表明止跌企稳,只能表明下跌幅度过大之后的一种抵抗,继续关注美盘豆油是否出现明显的止跌信号。

小结:美盘豆油短线下探走势延续中,盘面未显示出明显的止跌信号。 内盘马盘油脂商品抵抗性跟随,虽然今天棕榈油暂时红盘表现,但仍不足以扭转短线下挫, 最多只能告诉我们下方的回落空间正在逐步收窄。。。具体操作上:我们继续多空仓单对锁持有,其中空单数量略大于多单———–也只是表明我们一种短线态度,并且是在短线走弱时,如果仅仅多空仓单等数量的锁仓,那只是锁定了账面多单亏损的幅度,而不能出现账面空单的盈余。 后市短线我们会继续关注止跌信号的出现,逢低空单首先离场仍为本周主要任务。

[SUMMARY]
• The rout continue in U.S. soybean oil, no sign of recovery soon.
• Malaysia palm oil rallied, but unable to offset earlier losses.

[ACTION]
• Traders may maintain current positions.

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 











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