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Global Vegoils Analysis – 30 Aug 2018

A commentary written by Tony Tong


2018.8.30日周四油脂商品短线下挫态势的回落整理走势延续中

美盘黄豆连短线下挫态势依旧明显,在日K线图表上—–美大豆期价再次临近7月16日前低附近(826.25美分),当前正在考验前低的支撑效力,从理论上讲:7月16日的826.25存在一定技术支撑,关注美豆在该位置的后市表现。 美盘豆油12 月合约,近期期价未出现明显上涨,但也未出现明显的下跌——-基本处于一种横盘无序波动状态,在美豆油未出现明确的单边走势前,稳健型交易者继续场外观望。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油 棕榈油1901主力合约,今天周四盘面十字星K线震荡状态,盘中多空主力继续争夺—–但盘面的短线方向性不强,仅属于阴阳K线的右侧横盘波动, 这种状态迟早要被打破,让我们继续冷眼旁观。。。。另外,前几日建议在贱金属 建材 化工类商品—–螺纹钢 焦炭 玻璃 PTA 等品种上逢高放空的空单继续持有, 该类品种在前期大幅反弹上涨后当前出现了冲高回落走势。

马盘毛棕榈油基准11月,本周一突然跳下来,随后周二又跳上去,而周三 周四期价又右侧横盘——马盘毛棕榈油短线也处于一种“上下两难”的尴尬境界, 时间换取空间 的走势仍然在延续中,我们继续以静制动思维对待。

小结: 油脂类商品陷入犹豫徘徊的尴尬境界,短线期价变化不大,整体处于一种无序波动震荡走势当中,大周期角度上的低位区域整理酝酿走势在延续中, 在短线走势未出现明确方向性信号前,我们继续场外观望———-直至下挫整理走势完全结束时,我们再考虑逢低多单接盘,目前操作上继续保持观望态势,看9月份市场如何表现(只有明天最后一个交易日了)。

[SUMMARY]
• Global edible oil remain volatile.

[ACTION]
• Conservative traders may wait and observe for better market entry to appear.
• Aggressive traders may hold small amount of positions.

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 












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