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Global Vegoils Analysis – 30 January 2018

A commentary written by Tony Tong



近日,中国大陆本月的国储菜籽油抛售正在如火如荼的进行中,每周一次本月已经抛售了4次,大约21万吨菜油流向市场,从侧面增加了国内油脂商品的总供给量,这对豆油棕榈油带来一定市场冲击,从一定程度上影响了豆油 棕榈油年前的上涨势头。内盘豆油棕榈油1805主力合约,今天周二盘面出现异动——期价早盘高开低走,盘中中长阴K线下跌走势,盘中空头主力增仓阻击令期价走软,盘中一波三折走势较为明显。

马盘毛棕榈油基准4月,昨日周一盘面中阳K线上涨刚刚收复上周末的失地,今天受大陆内盘油脂期价走软影响,早盘再度低开 ,上午盘面围绕2500整数关一线徘徊,受内盘拖累严重。


• US soybean oil plummeted during the opening, failed to resume previous rally.
• Based on the MACD indicator, uptrend is being pressured and possibilities of short term reversal is still possible.
• Traders should be cautious about bullish reversal pattern.

• Traders may hold current position.

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.


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