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Global Vegoils Analysis – 31 July 2018

A commentary written by Tony Tong


2018.7.27日周五前期多单继续持有

美盘大豆豆油短线反弹上行走势延续中,当前期价逐渐反弹到上方的40天均线位置(日K线图表上均线系统为“空头排列”),截止到目前为止,反弹上行结束信号还没完全出现,因此我们继续保持谨慎的“弱势反弹”观点,若本周后半周期价出现任何的风吹草动迹象,可考虑在内盘马盘油脂商品上多单减仓。

大陆内盘油脂商品 豆油 棕榈油1809主力合约,内盘油脂商品短线反弹上行走势延续中,特别是内盘豆油已经反弹到上方60天均线位置——该位置也就是7月9日的前高位置,也恰好是豆油1809合约的 W型双底雏形的“颈线”技术位, 因此上说,内盘豆油率先到达“关键技术位”,后市该位置是阻挡? 还是被向上突破? 则成为我们本周的关注焦点所在。

马盘棕榈油基准10月,期价不温不火的波动震荡——与其说是短线反弹,不如说是“横盘震荡”更确切些——期价整体变化不大,波动范围缩窄,多空主力握手言和,均未发力。。。仍属于低位的横盘酝酿阶段。

小结: 美盘油脂商品前期超跌之后,短线反弹上行走势明显, 内盘油脂紧紧追随,马盘棕榈不为所动暂时期价横盘, 植物油市场表现为—–豆油略强 棕榈油稍弱 局面,谨防受棕榈油反弹上行无力拖累,我们手中多单需要谨慎持有,万一后市短线出现任何的“风吹草动”不利情况出现,可在操作上多单做好减持的心理准备(思维在先 操作在后)。

[SUMMARY]
• US soybean oils rally continued, in tandem with China soybean oil.
• Malaysia palm oil’s performance remain weak.

[ACTION]
• Traders may hold current positions.

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 












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