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Global Vegoils Analysis – 31 May 2018

A commentary written by Tony Tong


2018.5.31日周四油脂商品一片混乱稳健操作者观望

美盘大豆受政治因素影响,期价连续2天大幅下跌,短线的反弹回落走势明显。 美盘豆油7月合约,期价在60天均线位置徘徊波动—–上方有60天均线阻挡,下方受短期均线 5 10 20天均线支撑, 美豆油暂时陷入“夹缝中”,一种身不由己的模糊表现。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油 棕榈油1809主力合约,昨日周三盘面出现异动——早盘期价高开高走多头发力上冲, 午后2点半期价又快速回落,终盘以带长上影线的阳K线收盘(无功而返)。 今天周四期价又十字星表现,短线多头主力拉锯战 暂时失去方向感。

马盘毛棕榈油基准7月,昨日周三上午盘面期价顺势走低,盘中下挫走势明显, 但在下午段开盘后—-期价瞬间跳空高开,期价又震荡走高,终盘以带下影线的阳K线收盘,昨日马盘棕榈受大连交易所的棕榈油走势影响明显。 今天周四盘面又小阴K线表现。

小结:美国商务部长罗斯将于6月初访华,当前油脂商品政治层面不确定因素较多,短线市场恐将受贸易谈判的情绪波动影响,因此当前油脂商品多空主力都表现较为急躁, 多空主力情绪上的剧烈拉锯波动往往带有“瞬间的伤害性”,尤其是对散户朋友。操作上: 稳健型交易者观望 短线操作技术不擅长者观望, 少部分激进型交易者可日内短线交易,但需日内及时平仓了结。当前整体油脂商品短线走势模糊,瞬间的脉冲式急速波动 只适合日内超短线高手, 普通波段性散户朋友我们还是建议场外观望为上。

[SUMMARY]
• Overall, global edible oils remain volatile.
• In short terms, the outcome of negotiation between US Secretary of Commerce Wilbur Ross and China government will affect market sentiment.

[ACTION]
• Aggressive traders may initiate intraday trading strategy.
• Conservative traders may hold off until further confirmation.

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 












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