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Global Vegoils Analysis – 4 Sep 2018

A commentary written by Tony Tong


美盘市场昨日公共假期之后,今天周二开盘交易。 美盘豆油12月合约亚洲电子早盘红盘上涨表现,当前期价正在冲击日K线图表上60天均线的“技术阻挡”,是否冲击过? 要待今日晚间市场给出答案。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油 棕榈油1901主力合约,昨日中阳K线上涨之后,今天周二盘面多头主力继续发力(增仓上行),错列的2根阳K线——-表明反身上行动作开始显露痕迹,短线走势上基本符合我们此前的心理预期。

马盘毛棕榈油基准11月,昨天周一小阳K线表现——我们昨日说过: 马棕榈的技术阻挡位在60天均线的2260位置,该位置是空头主力最后的技术防御点,昨日11月棕榈油期价最高点恰好为2260令吉特,这不是巧合,这是多空主力生死搏杀点。。。还是否记得我们更早还说过—–在上周一8月27日那天瞬间向下的跳空小阴K线吗? 当8月28日期价再度跳空上涨——就已经把那颗小阴K线上低位追空的人完全套牢(那天为—-单日的“岛形反转”空头陷阱),当时可能盘面还不够清晰,随着今天周二,期价瞬间跳上60天均线后,回头再看 下方8月27日低位追空的人才开始意识到错了。。。。。可惜为时已晚,后市只要马盘棕榈油能继续站在60天均线上方,则期价仍有走高机会,下方的被套空单会被越抛越远。

小结: 美盘豆油多日右侧横盘之后,开始冲击60天均线的技术压力,而内盘 马盘油脂商品却率先期价上行,该短线走势基本符合我们心理预期,从今天开始我们短线观点以震荡上行观点对待。 具体操作上:前期激进型交易者手中埋伏的少量多单继续持有,稳健型交易者于今天逢低多单进场(部分激进型散户朋友若手中仓单较小 也可适量多单加仓),后市短线我们以回落调整结束后的反身上行观点对待。

• US soybean oil rallied and approached resistance level at 60 moving average.
• China and Malaysia edible oils rose within expectation.

• Conservative traders may initiate small amount of long positions.
• Aggressive traders may hold small amount of positions or increase current positions.

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.


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1 Comment to Global Vegoils Analysis – 4 Sep 2018

  • Bernd Hogle's Gravatar Bernd Hogle
    September 11, 2018 at 3:04 PM | Permalink

    This site really has all of the information and facts I needed concerning this subject and didn’t know who to ask.