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Global Vegoils Analysis – 5 Nov 2018

A commentary written by Tony Tong


美盘大豆受消息面利多情绪影响,短线角度的“反身上行”走势明显。 美盘豆油12月合约追随性小幅走高,也出现“反身”动作,对美盘油脂商品我们继续保持短多思维对待。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油 棕榈油1901主力合约,上周五一根长阴K线,盘中突然的恐慌性急跌走势明显————“遇急跌时候 空单减持”, 这是我们逢低减持空单的首要任务,也是我们早早就提出的操作思维理念。。。。上周五的下影线的出现(特别是内盘棕榈油),说明下方存在多头抵抗动作,今天周一早盘,期价在阴K线的右侧高开,正在修复前一根过长的阴K线(是否为 金针探底 走势 有待后市验证)。

马盘棕榈油基准1月,上周五追随内盘油脂商品早盘低开,随后全天低开高走,终盘以低开高走的中阳K线上涨收盘,并且早盘的跳空缺口被弥补,马盘棕榈油瞬间下探 拒绝走低态度非常明显。 今天周一,马棕榈油期价低开,在上周五阳K线的中间位置暂时波动。

小结: 美盘油脂商品短线期价走高,盘中反身上行动作明显。 内盘 马盘油脂商品上周五时候,出现一波恐慌性急跌走势,盘中杀跌动能得到一定的释放———–遇急跌 空单减仓,是我们早早就准备好的操作理念, 上周五相信一部分激进型交易者手中空单已经逢低减持了,今天周一继续建议稳健型交易者手中空单也开始减持,我们前期的多空对锁仓单——“解锁”操作正式拉开序幕,并且部分激进型散户朋友空单减仓后, 可少量多单进场,摊低前期多单持仓成本,后市短线我们以超跌之后的酝酿反弹走势看待。

• U.S. soybean oil rallied while China and Malaysia edible oils dived down.

• Aggressive traders may initiate small amount of long positions.
• Conservative traders may reduce current short positions.

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.


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