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Global Vegoils Analysis – 5 Sep 2018

A commentary written by Tony Tong


美盘豆油12月合约,昨日晚间期价触及上方60天均线,但收盘时候期价并没有站上去,终盘以十字星收盘——美盘豆油短线走势仍然表现为右侧横盘无序波动状态 , 该横盘区间是早晚要被打破的,这点我们不用怀疑,市场也不可能就这样横盘波动下去。。。问题是:美盘豆油会选择哪个方向作为突破点? 1.若向上则必须突破60天均线的技术阻挡。 2.若向下则必须跌破7月13 8月15的低点。我个人更主观倾向于向上突破, 美盘豆油到底如何演绎,让我们继续等待市场给出答案。

大陆内盘油脂商品 豆油 棕榈油1901主力合约, 从本周一开始,期价红盘上涨,昨日周二期价继续红盘上涨,连续2根错列上行的阳K线——短线的反身动作已经非常明显(1根时候 还不明显)。 但由于美盘豆油昨日晚间未给予有力支持(美盘豆油未站上60天均线),今天周三上午盘面,内盘豆油 棕榈油双双小阴十字星等待。

马盘毛棕榈油基准11月,昨天早盘期价跳空高开——–瞬间跳上60天均线,反身走强的反弹痕迹瞬间变的明朗,今天马盘棕榈小阴K线表现——是在等待下方的5日 10日 20日 40日均线“上穿”(期价上去了 但下方的短期均线还没有上去), 若马盘毛棕榈油后市短线能支持日K线图表上均线系统由空头排列转为多头排列,则后市仍有走强机会——-当前正处于均线“转变”的关键技术点, 后市是否能转型成功?则需要多头主力的更一步努力,让我们继续关注马盘棕榈的后续表现。

小结:美盘豆油昨日晚间冲击60天均线的阻挡未果, 没有给予内盘马盘油脂有力的支持,今天内盘马盘油脂小阴K线暂时等待——–等待美盘豆油的后续的大力支持, 在美豆油未走势清晰前, 内盘 马盘油脂商品也不敢往上走太远——-让我们继续关注美盘豆油本周的表现。具体操作上: 内盘 马盘前期多单继续持有, 昨日新进补仓多单谨慎持有, 等待美盘豆油进一步的方向性指引。

• US soybean oil failed to breakthrough 60-days moving average, caused little impact towards Malaysia and China edible oils.

• Trades may continue to hold current positions for Malaysia palm oils.

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.


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