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Global Vegoils Analysis – 6 June 2018

A commentary written by Tony Tong


美盘豆油7月合约,昨日周二晚间期价继续走低,终盘以阴K线表现, 由于当前期价距离前期低点(5月1日的30.15)距离并不远,因此盘面上呈现抵抗性下挫,下跌整理幅度收窄。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油 棕榈油1809主力合约,昨日周二盘面多空争夺激烈,先是上午盘面空头进场打压,然后下午盘面多头抵抗—–终盘以带下影线的阴K线收盘,昨日空头主力略占上风。今天周三早盘期价继续小阴K线表现,盘面上多空主力今天暂时握手言和,市场观望气氛较浓。

马盘毛棕榈油基准8月,在本周一长阴K线(吞没K线)之后,昨日早盘期价跳空低开,尾盘期价逐步走高,终盘以小阳K线收盘。盘面上期价在2380一线存在部分多头护盘动作。 今天周三早盘期价又再度高开,截止中午暂时以十字星表现。。。后市, 密切关注前几次下方低点(2018.3.12日低点 4月17日低点 以及5月4日低点的空头陷阱 ),看后市期价是否会再次靠近该位置,在2350—2360一线的多单接盘机会。

小结:油脂类商品在前几天短线“模糊”走势之后,昨日空头主力率先站出来刻意打压,多头主力瞬间措手不及,只得积极防御,昨日盘面期价波动剧烈,多空厮杀猛烈,表明多空主力对后市短线看法不一致。 我们暂时以保守的短空思维看待。。。 整体来说下方的回落空间应该不会很大。操作上:稳健型交易者在这种“情绪化”盘面走势下,暂时停止交易, 只有部分敏感型 短线盘感好的 激进交易者方可日内交易,火中取栗的日内交易要求速战速决,不贪不燥, 新手与迟钝型散户还是场外观望为宜。 耐心等待回落整理结束出现止跌企稳之后的新一波“波段”行情我们再进场交易不迟(放弃抵抗性短空盘面 只关注多单逢低接盘)。

• Today market resumed strong short selling pressure after previous day’s tug-of-war between buyers and sellers.

• Experienced aggressive traders may initiate intraday short position.
• Conservative traders are advised to halt trading and wait for better entry signal.

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.


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