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Global Vegoils Analysis – 9 Aug 2018

A commentary written by Tony Tong


美盘豆油12月合约,期价继续不温不火运行,盘面“上下两难”迹象明显——-一方面是中长线低价区域酝酿大反弹拐点,另一方面短线反弹无力,缺少更多的做多热情(时机不对),这种中长线与短线的技术“反驳”现象,令美盘豆油短线走势形同鸡肋(食之无味 弃之可惜),这也是我们建议散户朋友暂时场外观望的主要原因。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油 棕榈油1901主力合约,在短线走势上多头主力“不死心”,期价还在小幅拉升,特别是1901的豆油,当前期价稍微冲过7月初的前高位置。而棕榈油1901合约,正逐步来到7月初的前高位置,该位置也是棕榈油日K线图表上60天均线位置。


小结: 美盘豆油短线走势依旧模糊,内盘略微强势一下(期价还在延续以前的反弹走势),马盘棕榈油本来横盘波动震荡,但在内盘大连植物油市场走高提振下,最近三天期价也红盘表现, 但油脂商品整体盘面的弱势态势还是较为明显,我们目前不建议继续追高(谨防反弹力量衰竭后的突然坠落),前期多单出局后还是场外观望一下吧。

• Global edible oils remained bearish.
• US soybean oil market direction remain unclear.
• Malaysia palm oil continue to be volatile.
• China edible oils erased earlier gains and routed.

• Traders may close current positions.

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.


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