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Global Weekly Market Wrap – 10 March 2013

A commentary written by Tony Tong


周一 黑色星期一再现

内盘商品市场空头氛围再度来袭,多数商品出现下跌,特别要指出的是—-铜, 螺纹, 焦炭全部跌停, 橡胶, 玻璃见跌停价格后也在苦苦挣扎,黑色星期一再现。

前期表现较强的油脂类商品,今天也略受整体盘面影响,呈现低开低走,受能源化工和金属类商品拖累迹象明显。 豆油1409合约减仓2万余手,减仓下行—-为多头出逃表现, 棕榈油1409合约增仓下行 ,表现为空头增仓打压, 前期我们屡次提到的多单逢高减仓担忧,今天得到一定体现, 但对趋势性操作者来说,单根的阴K线不足以说明反弹趋势终结,密切关注本周随后几天的盘面表现。

马盘毛棕榈油早盘低开,上午小幅整理,期价整体变化不大,虽小阴K线,但受内盘下跌影响不明显。前期多单仍可谨慎持有。

小结: 内盘商品均出现不同程度下跌,在多个商品品种跌停影响下,内盘油脂商品今天出现大跌,一根K线的下跌虽然不能说明行情转势,但我们内心所一直担忧的问题摆上了桌面,这对我们来说,也是一个警戒信号。 保守趋势操作者多单仍可谨慎持有,但个人设置好自己的止盈位置。 波段性操作者以及短线操作者,今天可少量多单分批次止盈, 若后市再出现继今日阴K线之后的第2根错列下行阴K线,激进情绪操作者可多单全部出局,规避整体盘面疲软带来的风险。 后市密切关注周二的市场表现。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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