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Global Market Wrap – 18 November 2013

A commentary written by Tony Tone


周一日报 受美盘下跌影响 内盘恐慌性低开

上周五美盘黄豆期货2014年1月合约大跌33美分/蒲式耳,下跌幅度达到2.5%。受此影响,周一内盘豆类、油脂类果然出现恐慌性低开下挫行情。前期二次挑战前高的态势受到阻挡,行情再次呈现为区间震荡状态。

当前基本面情况没有更多新意,突破性行情难有进展。预计盘整周期又欲加长,市场等待新的基本面变化来指引。

供应及现货情况:一级豆油:河北秦皇岛7450元/吨;山东日照7360元/吨;浙江宁波7500元/吨;江苏张家港7450元/吨;江苏南通7450元/吨;湖北武汉7550元/吨。广东广州7280元/吨。广东东莞7300元/吨;四川成都7600元/吨;黑龙江哈尔滨7600元/吨。

马盘和大连盘棕榈油合约稍微强于豆油,仍处于强势整理过程中。仍未明显打破上有压力下有支撑的区间震荡态势,价格仍在颈线上方价格徘徊震荡。现阶段马盘和大连盘同时受美盘价格变化影响较为明显,需密切关注美盘的变化。

个人看法: 行情未出现突破性进展前,稳健者继续观望。短线激进者在价格回落幅度较大且有支撑时可短多操作,上行受阻挡有压力时可短空操作,都为日内短线交易,均不持仓过夜。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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