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Global Market Wrap – 21 November 2013

A commentary written by Tony Tong

周四日报 油脂类演绎上有压力下有支撑下的平台整理行情

大连商品交易所油脂类商品在周三回落到相对低位后有主力多头低位接盘,短线呈现出回落反涨态势。豆油、棕榈油周三均以阳线报收。马盘棕榈油在价格回落到20天均线位置也同样出现一定的低位多头接盘,基准2月合约以带上下影线的阳K线收盘。美盘豆油周三隔夜盘小阳报收 马盘、美盘均对大连盘有一定提振作用。如果周四大连盘延续周三阳K线,增仓继续上行,表明有部分多头主力短线进场。

技术上观察,大连盘油脂商品整体处于11月1日高点之下与11月12日低点之上的区间震荡范围内。价格波动表现为上有压力,下有支撑的右侧延伸式的矩形平台整理状态。耐心等待基本面对平台上下沿 ,即11月1日上沿和11月12日构成的下沿的突破指引。

个人看法:行情有逐步演变成矩形平台区间整理的态势。相对应的操作手法仅三种: 1. 后市若突破上沿则多单追进 ; 2. 若突破整理平台下沿则有利空嫌疑,调整周期恐延长一段时间;3. 若行情依旧在上下沿平台内继续震荡整理,则仍保持上空下多的短线操作。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.


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