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Global Markets Analysis – 02 August 2017

A commentary written by Tony Tong


02.08.2017周三说风就是雨——美盘大豆昨晚长阴暴跌

美国农业部(USDA)最新农作物生长报告显示:美国大豆生长优良率为59%,高于一周前的57% 2个百分点。由于市场人士对美大豆产量担忧情绪的缓解,造成美黄豆连昨日晚间长阴K线暴跌,期价瞬间跌至一月前低点。美盘豆油12月合约,昨日晚间也追随美豆中阴下跌,瞬间的盘面变化——造成美盘油脂商品反弹结束,转为下挫回落均线,比我们昨日报告中预期的(本周末时分)快了2天。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油棕榈油1801主力合约,今天周三盘中,追随美盘豆油期价走低,短线回落整理出现苗头。

马盘毛棕榈油基准10月,在高位连续出现2天阴K线之后,今日周三早盘跳空低开下挫,短线的回落整理迹象更为明显。

小结:美盘大豆美盘豆油阴K线暴跌(包括国际原油),瞬间令盘面发生新的变化—–不排除提前2天率先展开反弹结束后的回落整理走势,虽然时间上早了一半天,但短线运行轨迹上仍基本符合我们此前的心理预期,后市我们以短空观点对待。具体操作上:原先剩余被套空单暂时持有,部分激进型散户朋友今日可适量空单跟进,后市短线我们以短空观点对待(回落下方均线)。

[SUMMARY]
• US Soybean and Soybean Oil futures slumped on Tuesday, as well as Crude Oil futures.
• Downward correction is starting in two days earlier than expected.

[ACTION]
• Traders who are still holding short positions may continue to retain them in the short term.
• Aggressive retail traders can initiate short positions today.

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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